Keywords
canine visceral leishmaniasis
eco-epidemiology
modeling
How to Cite
Abstract
The territory located in the border of Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay is endemic for tegumentary leishmaniasis (TL). However, Lutzomyia longipalpis first report in the area was in 2010-Argentina, in 2012-Brazil, and no records in the Paraguayan border despite of reports of human visceral leishmaniasis (VL) cases. Therefore, we developed a research from 2014 to 2017 to study VL in the three-country border at locality level; Uruguay-2015, and Bolivia-2016 joined latter due to the alerts of VL in the Argentinean borders. The space-time distributions of vectors, infected dogs and environmental variables were recorded and associated at three progressive scales, while anthropological surveys were performed. Three scenarios were characterized based on canine VL prevalence, vector presence-abundance and the spatial distribution consistency between them: settled VL, incipient VL, and steady TL with imported canine VL. The vector abundance was clustered in ‘hot spots’ persistent in time that could act as ‘source populations’. The clustering distribution was associated with environmental variables at the different scales studied. Therefore, the vector distribution (proxy of human-dog exposure) could be modeled in recent southern scenarios to focus the surveillance and interventions on predicted ‘hot spots’, in order to increase the effectiveness and efficiency of program activities.
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Copyright (c) 2018 Oscar Daniel Salomón